26 Jun · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1194
FormLLLLL
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1648
FormWWWWW
12%
88%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 89% · 1.13· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~72 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
32%
2-3
17%
3-2
6%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+454
H2H14-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+454)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-2)