26 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1577
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1610
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+33
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.