26 Jun · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1515
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Czerwinski
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1484
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Czerwinski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.