26 Jun · 08:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1591
FormWWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lebek
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1450
FormLWWWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H27-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-3)