26 Jun · 08:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1293
FormLLLWL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1624
FormWWLWL
19%
81%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~74 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
30%
2-3
19%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+331
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+331)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)