26 Jun · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1409
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sulkowski
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1365
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H18-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-15)