26 Jun · 09:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1496
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Chmielowski
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1591
FormWWWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Chmielowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)