26 Jun · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1293
FormLLLWL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1598
FormWWWWW
21%
79%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
30%
2-3
20%
3-2
10%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+305
H2H23-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+305)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-2)