26 Jun · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1443
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Slosarczyk
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1379
FormWLWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Slosarczyk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)