26 Jun · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1595
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Prokopcov
DP
🇵🇱Dmitrij Prokopcov
ELO 1644
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Prokopcov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)