26 Jun · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1612
FormLWWLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Hetnar
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1387
FormWWLWL
73%
27%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
25%
3-2
21%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+225
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+225)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)