26 Jun · 11:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1510
FormLLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Adamus
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1378
FormLLLWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H17-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-16)