26 Jun · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1563
FormWWWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Zochniak
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1405
FormWWWLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H44-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-39)