26 Jun · 10:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1560
FormLLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kurek
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1435
FormLLLWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Kurek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)