26 Jun · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇵🇱Oskar Sokolowski
ELO 1305
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sokolowski
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1289
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.