26 Jun · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1428
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Linek
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1455
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Linek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+27
H2H13-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.