26 Jun · 13:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1541
FormLWLWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Bernacki
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1289
FormLLLWL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~75 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
27%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+252
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+252)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)