26 Jun · 11:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1533
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1608
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)