26 Jun · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1526
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chmielowski
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1591
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Chmielowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+65
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)