26 Jun · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1597
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1618
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+21
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.