26 Jun · 12:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1514
FormWLLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1692
FormWWLWW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
22%
2-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H27-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-12)