26 Jun · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1379
FormLWLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1616
FormWWWWL
26%
74%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~77 pts
1-3
28%
0-3
26%
2-3
20%
3-2
12%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+237
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+237)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)