26 Jun · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1692
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pruszkowski
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1616
FormWWWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H18-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-11)