26 Jun · 13:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1572
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Zochniak
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1457
FormLLLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H56-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-29)