26 Jun · 15:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1577
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Zochniak
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1484
FormWWWWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H48-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-36)