26 Jun · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1424
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fomin
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1505
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)