26 Jun · 15:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1519
FormLLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1633
FormWWWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H12-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-9)