26 Jun · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1397
FormWLLLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1612
FormWLWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+215
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+215)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)