26 Jun · 15:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1502
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1612
FormWLWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)