26 Jun · 15:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1436
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1484
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H18-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)