26 Jun · 16:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1517
FormLLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1637
FormWWWWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
21%
0-3
19%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)