26 Jun · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1502
FormLLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Adamus
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1383
FormLLWLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H18-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-16)