26 Jun · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1683
FormLWLWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Pruszkowski
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1399
FormLWWLL
78%
22%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
29%
3-2
20%
2-3
10%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+284
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+284)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)