26 Jun · 19:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1550
FormLLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1655
FormWWWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H31-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-12)