26 Jun · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1384
FormLWLLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1601
FormLLWLW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+217
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)