26 Jun · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1297
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Lukaszewski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1379
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 42% · 2.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H8-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)