27 Jun · 06:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1454
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Przewlocki
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1409
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)