26 Jun · 20:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1300
FormWLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1392
FormLWWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H6-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)