26 Jun · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1730
FormLWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Oracz
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1555
FormWLLWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H20-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-8)