26 Jun · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1544
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wos
JM
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1515
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Wos
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.