26 Jun · 20:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1398
FormWWWLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Szymik
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1602
FormWWLLW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+204
H2H104-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (104-26)