26 Jun · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1423
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Slosarczyk
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1424
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Slosarczyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+1
H2H9-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.