26 Jun · 21:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1360
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1404
FormLWWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Urban
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)