26 Jun · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1734
FormWLWWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Oracz
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1456
FormWLLWW
77%
23%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
28%
3-2
20%
2-3
11%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+278
H2H24-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+278)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-6)