26 Jun · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1592
FormWLWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Pawlik
MN
🇵🇱Michal Natkaniec
ELO 1456
FormWLLWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
19%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+136
H2H26-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-3)