26 Jun · 21:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1647
FormLWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Tkaczyk
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1537
FormWWLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)