26 Jun · 23:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1596
FormLWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Szymik
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1432
FormWWLLL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
21%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)