26 Jun · 22:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1737
FormWWLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Oracz
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1637
FormLLWWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H30-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-21)