26 Jun · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1389
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wiza
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1345
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Wiza
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H18-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)