26 Jun · 23:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1410
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klocek
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1403
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 30% · 3.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.